Picton Mahoney Fortified Etf Performance

PFMS Etf  CAD 15.63  0.35  2.19%   
The etf holds a Beta of 0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Picton Mahoney's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Picton Mahoney is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Picton Mahoney Fortified are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Picton Mahoney may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
  

Picton Mahoney Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,497  in Picton Mahoney Fortified on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  66.00  from holding Picton Mahoney Fortified or generate 4.41% return on investment over 90 days. Picton Mahoney Fortified is generating 0.1201% of daily returns and assumes 0.845% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 7% of etfs are less volatile than Picton, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Picton Mahoney is expected to generate 1.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Picton Mahoney Fortified extending back to July 16, 2019. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Picton Mahoney stands at 15.63, as last reported on the 1st of February, with the highest price reaching 15.97 and the lowest price hitting 15.62 during the day.
3 y Volatility
6.4
200 Day MA
14.47
1 y Volatility
4.19
50 Day MA
15.2546
Inception Date
2019-07-12
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Picton Mahoney Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Picton Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.63 90 days 15.63 
about 5.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Picton Mahoney to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.64 (This Picton Mahoney Fortified probability density function shows the probability of Picton Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Picton Mahoney has a beta of 0.13 indicating as returns on the market go up, Picton Mahoney average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Picton Mahoney Fortified will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Picton Mahoney Fortified has an alpha of 0.1459, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Picton Mahoney Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Picton Mahoney

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Picton Mahoney Fortified. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7815.6316.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0716.8417.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8315.6816.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6515.3716.10
Details

Picton Mahoney Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Picton Mahoney is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Picton Mahoney's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Picton Mahoney Fortified, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Picton Mahoney within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Picton Mahoney Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Picton Mahoney for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Picton Mahoney Fortified can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Picton Mahoney Fundamentals Growth

Picton Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Picton Mahoney, and Picton Mahoney fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Picton Etf performance.

About Picton Mahoney Performance

By examining Picton Mahoney's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Picton Mahoney's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Picton Mahoney is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The investment objective of the Picton Mahoney Fortified Multi-Strategy Alternative Fund is to provide consistent long-term capital appreciation and to provide unitholders with an attractive risk-adjusted rate of return. PICTON MAHONEY is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Picton Etf

Picton Mahoney financial ratios help investors to determine whether Picton Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Picton with respect to the benefits of owning Picton Mahoney security.